Malaga CF crestMalaga CFvsAD Ceuta crestAD Ceuta

Malaga CF 2-1 AD Ceuta — Result, H2H & Form

Spanish Segunda DivisionSun, 11 Jan 2026 15:15 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Malaga CF63%

Tofiko63% / 20% / 17%
Market43% / 29% / 28%
  • Malaga CF
  • Draw
  • AD Ceuta

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Malaga CF, rating it at 63.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Malaga CF won 2 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

Recent form

As of 23 Sep 2026.

Malaga CF: LLDDL

AD Ceuta: DLLLL

Head-to-head

As of 23 Sep 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 3.67Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-07AD Ceuta vs Malaga CF2–1
2026-05-16AD Ceuta vs Malaga CF1–4
2026-01-11Malaga CF vs AD Ceuta2–1

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FAQ

Who will win Malaga CF vs AD Ceuta?
Tofiko's model favours Malaga CF (63% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Malaga CF vs AD Ceuta kick off?
Sun, 11 Jan 2026 15:15 GMT — Spanish Segunda Division.
What is the Malaga CF vs AD Ceuta head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.67 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legAD Ceuta FC 1-4 Malaga16 May 2026 →