Almeriavs
BarcelonaAlmeria 0-2 Barcelona — Result, H2H & Form
La Liga 2023-2024Thu, 16 May 2024 19:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Barcelona72%
- Almeria 11%
- Draw 17%
- Barcelona 72%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Barcelona, rating it at 72.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Almeria won 1 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 72.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Barcelona's last 5 produced 24 goals — 4.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Almeria's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 17.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Barcelona's games are very high-scoring at 4.8 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Almeria: LLWWW
Barcelona: WWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-05-16 | Almeria vs Barcelona | 0–2 |
| 2023-12-20 | Barcelona vs Almeria | 3–2 |
| 2023-02-26 | Almeria vs Barcelona | 1–0 |
| 2022-11-05 | Barcelona vs Almeria | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Almeria vs Barcelona?
- Tofiko's model favours Barcelona (72% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Almeria vs Barcelona kick off?
- Thu, 16 May 2024 19:30 GMT — La Liga 2023-2024.
- What is the Almeria vs Barcelona head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.