Almeriavs
ElcheAlmeria 2-1 Elche — Result, H2H & Form
La Liga 2022-2023Tue, 02 May 2023 17:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Almeria45%
- Almeria
- Draw
- Elche
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Almeria, rating it at 45.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Almeria won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Elche's last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Almeria's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Elche's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 25 Sep 2026.
Almeria: WWWLL
Elche: WLDLL
Head-to-head
As of 25 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-05-02 | Almeria vs Elche | 2–1 |
| 2022-08-22 | Elche vs Almeria | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Almeria vs Elche?
- Tofiko's model favours Almeria (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Almeria vs Elche kick off?
- Tue, 02 May 2023 17:30 GMT — La Liga 2022-2023.
- What is the Almeria vs Elche head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.