Racing de Santander crestRacing de SantandervsUD Almeria crestUD Almeria

Racing de Santander 5-1 UD Almeria — Result, H2H & Form

Spanish Segunda DivisionSun, 12 Apr 2026 19:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Racing de Santander52%

Tofiko52% / 19% / 29%
Market43% / 25% / 32%
  • Racing de Santander
  • Draw
  • UD Almeria

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Racing de Santander, rating it at 51.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Racing de Santander won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Racing de Santander's last 5 produced 27 goals — 5.4 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. UD Almeria's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Racing de Santander's games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 23 Sep 2026.

Racing de Santander: LLWLW

UD Almeria: WWWLL

Head-to-head

As of 23 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 5.50Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-12Racing de Santander vs UD Almeria5–1
2025-09-07UD Almeria vs Racing de Santander2–3

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Racing de Santander vs UD Almeria?
Tofiko's model favours Racing de Santander (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Racing de Santander vs UD Almeria kick off?
Sun, 12 Apr 2026 19:00 GMT — Spanish Segunda Division.
What is the Racing de Santander vs UD Almeria head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 5.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

First legAlmeria 2-3 Racing Santander7 Sept 2025 →