Almeriavs
Rayo VallecanoAlmeria 0-2 Rayo Vallecano — Result, H2H & Form
La Liga 2023-2024Fri, 11 Aug 2023 17:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Rayo Vallecano39%
- Almeria
- Draw
- Rayo Vallecano
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Rayo Vallecano, rating it at 38.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Almeria won 2 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Rayo Vallecano's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Almeria's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Rayo Vallecano's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 25 Sep 2026.
Almeria: WWWLL
Rayo Vallecano: DWLWL
Head-to-head
As of 25 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.25Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-05-05 | Rayo Vallecano vs Almeria | 0–1 |
| 2023-08-11 | Almeria vs Rayo Vallecano | 0–2 |
| 2023-02-06 | Rayo Vallecano vs Almeria | 2–0 |
| 2022-10-08 | Almeria vs Rayo Vallecano | 3–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Almeria vs Rayo Vallecano?
- Tofiko's model favours Rayo Vallecano (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Almeria vs Rayo Vallecano kick off?
- Fri, 11 Aug 2023 17:30 GMT — La Liga 2023-2024.
- What is the Almeria vs Rayo Vallecano head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.25 goals per game.