UD Almeriavs
Real ZaragozaUD Almeria 4-2 Real Zaragoza — Result, H2H & Form
Spanish Segunda DivisionSat, 11 Oct 2025 16:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs UD Almeria64%
Tofiko64% / 20% / 16%
Market58% / 23% / 19%
- UD Almeria
- Draw
- Real Zaragoza
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick UD Almeria, rating it at 63.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and UD Almeria won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Real Zaragoza's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. UD Almeria's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
- Real Zaragoza's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026.
UD Almeria: WWWWW
Real Zaragoza: DWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026.
- 2Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Real Zaragoza vs UD Almeria | 2–0 |
| 2025-10-11 | UD Almeria vs Real Zaragoza | 4–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win UD Almeria vs Real Zaragoza?
- Tofiko's model favours UD Almeria (64% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does UD Almeria vs Real Zaragoza kick off?
- Sat, 11 Oct 2025 16:30 GMT — Spanish Segunda Division.
- What is the UD Almeria vs Real Zaragoza head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.