Real Zaragozavs
UD AlmeriaReal Zaragoza vs UD Almeria Prediction, H2H & Stats
Spanish Segunda DivisionSat, 14 Mar 2026 17:30 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Real Zaragoza 2–0 UD Almeria
Tofiko prediction
Model backs UD Almeria48%
- Real Zaragoza 29%
- Draw 23%
- UD Almeria 48%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick UD Almeria, rating it at 48.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Real Zaragoza won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 48.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Real Zaragoza: LLWLD
UD Almeria: WWLLW
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Real Zaragoza vs UD Almeria | 2–0 |
| 2025-10-11 | UD Almeria vs Real Zaragoza | 4–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Real Zaragoza vs UD Almeria?
- Tofiko's model favours UD Almeria (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Real Zaragoza vs UD Almeria kick off?
- Sat, 14 Mar 2026 17:30 GMT — Spanish Segunda Division.
- What is the Real Zaragoza vs UD Almeria head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.