Eibar crestEibarvsAthletic Bilbao crestAthletic Bilbao

Eibar 1-2 Athletic Bilbao — Result, H2H & Form

La Liga 2020-2021Sun, 27 Sep 2020 12:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Athletic Bilbao50%

  • Eibar 23%
  • Draw 27%
  • Athletic Bilbao 50%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Athletic Bilbao, rating it at 49.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Eibar won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 49.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 4 Sep 2026.

Eibar: WWLDW

Athletic Bilbao: WLLLL

Head-to-head

As of 4 Sep 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-07-25Athletic Bilbao vs SD Eibar2–2
2021-03-20Athletic Bilbao vs Eibar1–1
2020-09-27Eibar vs Athletic Bilbao1–2

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FAQ

Who will win Eibar vs Athletic Bilbao?
Tofiko's model favours Athletic Bilbao (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Eibar vs Athletic Bilbao kick off?
Sun, 27 Sep 2020 12:00 GMT — La Liga 2020-2021.
What is the Eibar vs Athletic Bilbao head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legAthletic Club 1-1 Eibar20 Mar 2021 →