Eibarvs
Atletico MadridEibar 1-2 Atletico Madrid — Result, H2H & Form
La Liga 2020-2021Thu, 21 Jan 2021 20:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Atletico Madrid63%
- Eibar 15%
- Draw 23%
- Atletico Madrid 63%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Atletico Madrid, rating it at 62.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Eibar won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 62.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 4 Sep 2026.
Eibar: WWLDW
Atletico Madrid: WDWWL
Head-to-head
As of 4 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-04-18 | Atletico Madrid vs Eibar | 5–0 |
| 2021-01-21 | Eibar vs Atletico Madrid | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Eibar vs Atletico Madrid?
- Tofiko's model favours Atletico Madrid (63% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Eibar vs Atletico Madrid kick off?
- Thu, 21 Jan 2021 20:30 GMT — La Liga 2020-2021.
- What is the Eibar vs Atletico Madrid head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.