CD Leganes crestCD LeganesvsRayo Vallecano crestRayo Vallecano

CD Leganes 0-1 Rayo Vallecano — Result, H2H & Form

La Liga 2024-2025Fri, 31 Jan 2025 20:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs CD Leganes40%

Tofiko40% / 27% / 33%
Market32% / 32% / 36%
  • CD Leganes
  • Draw
  • Rayo Vallecano

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick CD Leganes, rating it at 40.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and CD Leganes won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Rayo Vallecano's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. CD Leganes's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Rayo Vallecano's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 24 Sep 2026.

CD Leganes: WLDWW

Rayo Vallecano: DWLWL

Head-to-head

As of 24 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 1.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-01-31CD Leganes vs Rayo Vallecano0–1
2024-09-28Rayo Vallecano vs CD Leganes1–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win CD Leganes vs Rayo Vallecano?
Tofiko's model favours CD Leganes (40% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does CD Leganes vs Rayo Vallecano kick off?
Fri, 31 Jan 2025 20:00 GMT — La Liga 2024-2025.
What is the CD Leganes vs Rayo Vallecano head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

First legRayo Vallecano 1-1 Leganes28 Sept 2024 →