Racing de Santander crestRacing de SantandervsSporting de Gijon crestSporting de Gijon

Racing de Santander 3-1 Sporting de Gijon — Result, H2H & Form

Spanish Segunda DivisionWed, 01 Apr 2026 19:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Racing de Santander57%

  • Racing de Santander 57%
  • Draw 20%
  • Sporting de Gijon 23%
Market implied probability

The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.

Create a free account

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Racing de Santander, rating it at 57.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Racing de Santander won 2 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 57.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 20.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026.

Racing de Santander: WLDDW

Sporting de Gijon: WWDLL

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 4.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-07Racing de Santander vs Sporting de Gijon4–1
2026-04-01Racing de Santander vs Sporting de Gijon3–1
2025-10-12Sporting de Gijon vs Racing de Santander2–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Racing de Santander vs Sporting de Gijon?
Tofiko's model favours Racing de Santander (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Racing de Santander vs Sporting de Gijon kick off?
Wed, 01 Apr 2026 19:30 GMT — Spanish Segunda Division.
What is the Racing de Santander vs Sporting de Gijon head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.

More predictions

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.