Sporting de Gijon crestSporting de GijonvsRacing de Santander crestRacing de Santander

Sporting de Gijon 2-1 Racing de Santander — Result, H2H & Form

Spanish Segunda DivisionSun, 12 Oct 2025 14:15 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Racing de Santander40%

Tofiko39% / 22% / 40%
Market46% / 27% / 28%
  • Sporting de Gijon
  • Draw
  • Racing de Santander

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Racing de Santander, rating it at 39.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Sporting de Gijon won 1 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Racing de Santander's last 5 produced 27 goals — 5.4 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Sporting de Gijon's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Racing de Santander's games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 23 Sep 2026.

Sporting de Gijon: WLLWW

Racing de Santander: LLWLW

Head-to-head

As of 23 Sep 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 4.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-07Racing de Santander vs Sporting de Gijon4–1
2026-04-01Racing de Santander vs Sporting de Gijon3–1
2025-10-12Sporting de Gijon vs Racing de Santander2–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Sporting de Gijon vs Racing de Santander?
Tofiko's model favours Racing de Santander (40% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Sporting de Gijon vs Racing de Santander kick off?
Sun, 12 Oct 2025 14:15 GMT — Spanish Segunda Division.
What is the Sporting de Gijon vs Racing de Santander head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

First legRacing Santander 3-1 Sporting Gijon1 Apr 2026 →