Genoa CFC 1-1 Empoli FC — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie A 2024-2025Sun, 02 Mar 2025 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Genoa CFC52%
- Genoa CFC 52%
- Draw 25%
- Empoli FC 22%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Genoa CFC, rating it at 52.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and Genoa CFC won 1 of 6, with 5 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Genoa CFC's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 2 of them and conceded in 5. Empoli FC's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 25.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Genoa CFC's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Genoa CFC: LLWLL
Empoli FC: LWDDD
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 6Games
- 1.83Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-02 | Genoa CFC vs Empoli FC | 1–1 |
| 2024-12-28 | Empoli FC vs Genoa CFC | 1–2 |
| 2024-02-03 | Empoli vs Genoa | 0–0 |
| 2023-12-02 | Genoa vs Empoli | 1–1 |
| 2022-03-06 | Genoa vs Empoli | 0–0 |
| 2021-11-05 | Empoli vs Genoa | 2–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Genoa CFC vs Empoli FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Genoa CFC (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Genoa CFC vs Empoli FC kick off?
- Sun, 02 Mar 2025 14:00 GMT — Italian Serie A 2024-2025.
- What is the Genoa CFC vs Empoli FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 0 home wins, 5 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.83 goals per game.