Genoa CFC crestGenoa CFCvsEmpoli FC crestEmpoli FC

Genoa CFC 1-1 Empoli FC — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie A 2024-2025Sun, 02 Mar 2025 14:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Genoa CFC52%

  • Genoa CFC 52%
  • Draw 25%
  • Empoli FC 22%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Genoa CFC, rating it at 52.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and Genoa CFC won 1 of 6, with 5 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

They arrive from very different football. Genoa CFC's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 2 of them and conceded in 5. Empoli FC's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.

The model puts the draw at 25.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Genoa CFC's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 2 Sep 2026.

Genoa CFC: LLWLL

Empoli FC: LWDDD

Head-to-head

As of 2 Sep 2026.

  • 6Games
  • 1.83Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 33%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-03-02Genoa CFC vs Empoli FC1–1
2024-12-28Empoli FC vs Genoa CFC1–2
2024-02-03Empoli vs Genoa0–0
2023-12-02Genoa vs Empoli1–1
2022-03-06Genoa vs Empoli0–0
2021-11-05Empoli vs Genoa2–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Genoa CFC vs Empoli FC?
Tofiko's model favours Genoa CFC (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Genoa CFC vs Empoli FC kick off?
Sun, 02 Mar 2025 14:00 GMT — Italian Serie A 2024-2025.
What is the Genoa CFC vs Empoli FC head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 0 home wins, 5 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.83 goals per game.

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