Genoa CFC crestGenoa CFCvsUS Lecce crestUS Lecce

Genoa CFC vs US Lecce Prediction, H2H & Form

Italian Serie ASun, 31 Jan 2027 17:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Genoa CFC45%

Tofiko45% / 36% / 19%
  • Genoa CFC
  • Draw
  • US Lecce

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Genoa CFC or draw81%
  • Draw or US Lecce55%
  • Genoa CFC or US Lecce64%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.529%
  • Under 2.571%

Both teams to score

  • Genoa CFC, last 10 home games7 of 10
  • US Lecce, last 10 away games2 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (380 games)47%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Genoa CFC, rating it at 45.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and Genoa CFC won 1 of 6, with 2 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 111 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Genoa CFC: WLLWD

US Lecce: LLWLL

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 111 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 6Games
  • 1.33Avg goals
  • 33%Both scored
  • 33%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-24US Lecce vs Genoa CFC1–0
2025-08-23Genoa CFC vs US Lecce0–0
2025-03-14Genoa CFC vs US Lecce2–1
2025-01-05US Lecce vs Genoa CFC0–0
2024-01-28Genoa vs Lecce2–1
2023-09-22Lecce vs Genoa1–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Genoa CFC vs US Lecce?
Tofiko's model favours Genoa CFC (45% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Genoa CFC vs US Lecce kick off?
Sun, 31 Jan 2027 17:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
What is the Genoa CFC vs US Lecce head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.33 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureLecce vs Genoa1 Nov 2026 →