Venezia FC crestVenezia FCvsHellas Verona FC crestHellas Verona FC

Venezia FC 1-1 Hellas Verona FC — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie A 2024-2025Mon, 27 Jan 2025 17:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Venezia FC50%

  • Venezia FC 50%
  • Draw 25%
  • Hellas Verona FC 25%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Venezia FC, rating it at 50.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Venezia FC won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 50.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Venezia FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 2 Sep 2026.

Venezia FC: LLWDL

Hellas Verona FC: DLDLW

Head-to-head

As of 2 Sep 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 4.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 75%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-01-27Venezia FC vs Hellas Verona FC1–1
2024-10-04Hellas Verona FC vs Venezia FC2–1
2022-02-27Hellas Verona vs Venezia F.C.3–1
2021-12-05Venezia F.C. vs Hellas Verona3–4

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Venezia FC vs Hellas Verona FC?
Tofiko's model favours Venezia FC (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Venezia FC vs Hellas Verona FC kick off?
Mon, 27 Jan 2025 17:30 GMT — Italian Serie A 2024-2025.
What is the Venezia FC vs Hellas Verona FC head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.

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