Venezia FC 1-1 Hellas Verona FC — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie A 2024-2025Mon, 27 Jan 2025 17:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Venezia FC50%
- Venezia FC 50%
- Draw 25%
- Hellas Verona FC 25%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Venezia FC, rating it at 50.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Venezia FC won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 50.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
- Venezia FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Venezia FC: LLWDL
Hellas Verona FC: DLDLW
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-27 | Venezia FC vs Hellas Verona FC | 1–1 |
| 2024-10-04 | Hellas Verona FC vs Venezia FC | 2–1 |
| 2022-02-27 | Hellas Verona vs Venezia F.C. | 3–1 |
| 2021-12-05 | Venezia F.C. vs Hellas Verona | 3–4 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Venezia FC vs Hellas Verona FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Venezia FC (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Venezia FC vs Hellas Verona FC kick off?
- Mon, 27 Jan 2025 17:30 GMT — Italian Serie A 2024-2025.
- What is the Venezia FC vs Hellas Verona FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.