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Inter Milan crestInter MilanvsParma Calcio 1913 crestParma Calcio 1913

Inter Milan vs Parma Calcio 1913 Prediction, H2H & Stats

Italian Serie ASun, 11 Oct 2026 16:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Inter Milan78%

Inter Milan 78%
Draw 15%
Parma Calcio 1913 7%
  • Inter Milan 78%
  • Draw 15%
  • Parma Calcio 1913 7%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Inter Milan, rating it at 78.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and Inter Milan won 4 of 6, with 2 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 14.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Inter Milan: DWDDW

Parma Calcio 1913: DWLLL

Head-to-head

  • 6Games
  • 3.17Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-03Inter Milan vs Parma Calcio 19132–0
2026-01-07Parma Calcio 1913 vs Inter Milan0–2
2025-04-05Parma Calcio 1913 vs Inter Milan2–2
2024-12-06Inter Milan vs Parma Calcio 19133–1
2021-03-04Parma Calcio 1913 vs Inter Milan1–2
2020-10-31Inter Milan vs Parma Calcio 19132–2

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FAQ

Who will win Inter Milan vs Parma Calcio 1913?
Tofiko's model favours Inter Milan (78% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Inter Milan vs Parma Calcio 1913 kick off?
Sun, 11 Oct 2026 16:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
What is the Inter Milan vs Parma Calcio 1913 head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.17 goals per game.

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