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SS Lazio crestSS LaziovsAC Monza crestAC Monza

SS Lazio vs AC Monza Prediction, H2H & Stats

Italian Serie ASun, 11 Oct 2026 16:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs SS Lazio65%

SS Lazio 65%
Draw 24%
AC Monza 11%
  • SS Lazio 65%
  • Draw 24%
  • AC Monza 11%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick SS Lazio, rating it at 65.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and SS Lazio won 2 of 6, with 2 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 24.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

SS Lazio: WWLLL

AC Monza: LWWLW

Head-to-head

  • 6Games
  • 2.67Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 33%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-02-09SS Lazio vs AC Monza5–1
2024-11-10AC Monza vs SS Lazio0–1
2024-05-04AC Monza vs Lazio2–2
2023-09-23Lazio vs AC Monza1–1
2023-04-02A.C. Monza vs Lazio0–2
2022-11-10Lazio vs A.C. Monza1–0

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FAQ

Who will win SS Lazio vs AC Monza?
Tofiko's model favours SS Lazio (65% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does SS Lazio vs AC Monza kick off?
Sun, 11 Oct 2026 16:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
What is the SS Lazio vs AC Monza head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.67 goals per game.

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