SS Laziovs
AC MonzaSS Lazio vs AC Monza Prediction, H2H & Form
Italian Serie ASun, 11 Oct 2026 16:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs SS Lazio65%
- SS Lazio 65%
- Draw 24%
- AC Monza 11%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick SS Lazio, rating it at 65.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and SS Lazio won 2 of 6, with 2 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. AC Monza's last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. SS Lazio's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- AC Monza's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 40 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
SS Lazio: WWLWW
AC Monza: LLWDL
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 40 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 6Games
- 2.67Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-09 | SS Lazio vs AC Monza | 5–1 |
| 2024-11-10 | AC Monza vs SS Lazio | 0–1 |
| 2024-05-04 | AC Monza vs Lazio | 2–2 |
| 2023-09-23 | Lazio vs AC Monza | 1–1 |
| 2023-04-02 | A.C. Monza vs Lazio | 0–2 |
| 2022-11-10 | Lazio vs A.C. Monza | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win SS Lazio vs AC Monza?
- Tofiko's model favours SS Lazio (65% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does SS Lazio vs AC Monza kick off?
- Sun, 11 Oct 2026 16:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the SS Lazio vs AC Monza head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.67 goals per game.