AC Monza crestAC MonzavsAC Milan crestAC Milan

AC Monza vs AC Milan Prediction, H2H & Form

Italian Serie ASun, 03 Jan 2027 17:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

AC Milan to win61%

1X2: model backs AC Milan at 61%.

Tofiko14% / 25% / 61%
  • AC Monza
  • Draw
  • AC Milan

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • AC Monza or draw39%
  • Draw or AC Milan86%
  • AC Monza or AC Milan75%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.549%
  • Under 2.551%

Both teams to score

  • AC Monza, last 10 home games6 of 10
  • AC Milan, last 10 away games7 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (380 games)47%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick AC Milan, rating it at 61.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and AC Monza won 1 of 6. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 83 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

AC Monza: LDWWL

AC Milan: DWLDD

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 83 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 6Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 33%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-05-24AC Milan vs AC Monza2–0
2024-11-02AC Monza vs AC Milan0–1
2024-02-18AC Monza vs AC Milan4–2
2023-12-17AC Milan vs AC Monza3–0
2023-02-18A.C. Monza vs AC Milan0–1
2022-10-22AC Milan vs A.C. Monza4–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win AC Monza vs AC Milan?
Tofiko's model favours AC Milan (61% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does AC Monza vs AC Milan kick off?
Sun, 03 Jan 2027 17:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
What is the AC Monza vs AC Milan head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 4 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureAC Milan vs Monza4 Apr 2027 →