AC Monzavs
AC MilanAC Monza vs AC Milan Prediction, H2H & Stats
Italian Serie ASun, 03 Jan 2027 17:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AC Milan61%
- AC Monza 14%
- Draw 25%
- AC Milan 61%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick AC Milan, rating it at 61.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and AC Monza won 1 of 6. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 25.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
AC Monza: LWWLW
AC Milan: DLWLL
Head-to-head
- 6Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-24 | AC Milan vs AC Monza | 2–0 |
| 2024-11-02 | AC Monza vs AC Milan | 0–1 |
| 2024-02-18 | AC Monza vs AC Milan | 4–2 |
| 2023-12-17 | AC Milan vs AC Monza | 3–0 |
| 2023-02-18 | A.C. Monza vs AC Milan | 0–1 |
| 2022-10-22 | AC Milan vs A.C. Monza | 4–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win AC Monza vs AC Milan?
- Tofiko's model favours AC Milan (61% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does AC Monza vs AC Milan kick off?
- Sun, 03 Jan 2027 17:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the AC Monza vs AC Milan head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 4 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.