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SSC Napoli crestSSC NapolivsBologna FC 1909 crestBologna FC 1909

SSC Napoli vs Bologna FC 1909 Prediction, H2H & Stats

Italian Serie ASun, 13 Sep 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs SSC Napoli62%

SSC Napoli 62%
Draw 25%
Bologna FC 1909 13%
  • SSC Napoli 62%
  • Draw 25%
  • Bologna FC 1909 13%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick SSC Napoli, rating it at 62.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and SSC Napoli won 1 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 24.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

SSC Napoli: WWLWW

Bologna FC 1909: WWWDL

Head-to-head

  • 10Games
  • 2.80Avg goals
  • 40%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-11SSC Napoli vs Bologna FC 19092–3
2025-11-09Bologna FC 1909 vs SSC Napoli2–0
2025-04-07Bologna FC 1909 vs SSC Napoli1–1
2024-08-25SSC Napoli vs Bologna FC 19093–0
2024-05-11Napoli vs Bologna0–2
2023-09-24Bologna vs Napoli0–0
2023-05-28Bologna vs Napoli2–2
2022-10-16Napoli vs Bologna3–2
2022-01-17Bologna vs Napoli0–2
2021-10-28Napoli vs Bologna3–0

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FAQ

Who will win SSC Napoli vs Bologna FC 1909?
Tofiko's model favours SSC Napoli (62% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does SSC Napoli vs Bologna FC 1909 kick off?
Sun, 13 Sep 2026 15:59 GMT — Italian Serie A.
What is the SSC Napoli vs Bologna FC 1909 head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.80 goals per game.

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