1. FC Kolnvs
FC Schalke 041. FC Koln vs FC Schalke 04 Prediction, H2H & Stats
German BundesligaSat, 24 Oct 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs 1. FC Koln61%
- 1. FC Koln 61%
- Draw 24%
- FC Schalke 04 16%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick 1. FC Koln, rating it at 60.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and 1. FC Koln won 3 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 60.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. 1. FC Koln's last 5 produced 26 goals — 5.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. FC Schalke 04's 5 produced 18, at 3.6 per game.
The model puts the draw at 23.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- 1. FC Koln's games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
1. FC Koln: DWLLD
FC Schalke 04: WWWWL
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-01-29 | Schalke 04 vs 1. FC Koln | 0–0 |
| 2022-08-07 | 1. FC Koln vs Schalke 04 | 3–1 |
| 2021-05-22 | 1. FC Koln vs Schalke 04 | 1–0 |
| 2021-01-20 | Schalke 04 vs 1. FC Koln | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win 1. FC Koln vs FC Schalke 04?
- Tofiko's model favours 1. FC Koln (61% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does 1. FC Koln vs FC Schalke 04 kick off?
- Sat, 24 Oct 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the 1. FC Koln vs FC Schalke 04 head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.