SC Freiburgvs
FC Bayern MunichSC Freiburg vs FC Bayern Munich Prediction, H2H & Stats
German BundesligaSat, 24 Oct 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Bayern Munich68%
- SC Freiburg 13%
- Draw 19%
- FC Bayern Munich 68%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Bayern Munich, rating it at 67.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and SC Freiburg won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 19.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
SC Freiburg: LWLWL
FC Bayern Munich: LWWWD
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.90Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 80%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | SC Freiburg vs FC Bayern Munich | 2–3 |
| 2025-11-22 | FC Bayern Munich vs SC Freiburg | 6–2 |
| 2025-01-25 | SC Freiburg vs FC Bayern Munich | 1–2 |
| 2024-09-01 | FC Bayern Munich vs SC Freiburg | 2–0 |
| 2024-03-01 | SC Freiburg vs Bayern Munich | 2–2 |
| 2023-10-08 | Bayern Munich vs SC Freiburg | 3–0 |
| 2023-04-08 | SC Freiburg vs Bayern Munich | 0–1 |
| 2022-10-16 | Bayern Munich vs SC Freiburg | 5–0 |
| 2022-04-02 | SC Freiburg vs Bayern Munich | 1–4 |
| 2021-11-06 | Bayern Munich vs SC Freiburg | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win SC Freiburg vs FC Bayern Munich?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Bayern Munich (68% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does SC Freiburg vs FC Bayern Munich kick off?
- Sat, 24 Oct 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the SC Freiburg vs FC Bayern Munich head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.90 goals per game.