SC Freiburg vs FC Bayern Munich Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSun, 25 Oct 2026 16:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
FC Bayern Munich to win68%
1X2: model backs FC Bayern Munich at 68%.
- SC Freiburg
- Draw
- FC Bayern Munich
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- SC Freiburg or draw32%
- Draw or FC Bayern Munich87%
- SC Freiburg or FC Bayern Munich81%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.573%
- Under 2.527%
Both teams to score
- SC Freiburg, last 10 home games5 of 10
- FC Bayern Munich, last 10 away games8 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Bayern Munich, rating it at 67.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and SC Freiburg won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- FC Bayern Munich's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 12 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
SC Freiburg: WWDWW
FC Bayern Munich: DDWWW
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 12 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.90Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 80%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | SC Freiburg vs FC Bayern Munich | 2–3 |
| 2025-11-22 | FC Bayern Munich vs SC Freiburg | 6–2 |
| 2025-01-25 | SC Freiburg vs FC Bayern Munich | 1–2 |
| 2024-09-01 | FC Bayern Munich vs SC Freiburg | 2–0 |
| 2024-03-01 | SC Freiburg vs Bayern Munich | 2–2 |
| 2023-10-08 | Bayern Munich vs SC Freiburg | 3–0 |
| 2023-04-08 | SC Freiburg vs Bayern Munich | 0–1 |
| 2022-10-16 | Bayern Munich vs SC Freiburg | 5–0 |
| 2022-04-02 | SC Freiburg vs Bayern Munich | 1–4 |
| 2021-11-06 | Bayern Munich vs SC Freiburg | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win SC Freiburg vs FC Bayern Munich?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Bayern Munich (68% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does SC Freiburg vs FC Bayern Munich kick off?
- Sun, 25 Oct 2026 16:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the SC Freiburg vs FC Bayern Munich head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.90 goals per game.