TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSun, 25 Oct 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Bayer 04 Leverkusen48%
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
- Draw
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or draw52%
- Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen73%
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Bayer 04 Leverkusen76%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.568%
- Under 2.532%
Both teams to score
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, last 10 home games8 of 10
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen, last 10 away games8 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Bayer 04 Leverkusen, rating it at 48.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim won 2 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 12 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: LLLWL
Bayer 04 Leverkusen: WWWDW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 12 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.80Avg goals
- 80%Both scored
- 90%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1–0 |
| 2025-08-23 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 1–2 |
| 2025-02-02 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 3–1 |
| 2024-09-14 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1–4 |
| 2024-03-30 | Bayer Leverkusen vs Hoffenheim | 2–1 |
| 2023-11-04 | Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen | 2–3 |
| 2023-02-11 | Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen | 1–3 |
| 2022-08-20 | Bayer Leverkusen vs Hoffenheim | 0–3 |
| 2022-05-07 | Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen | 2–4 |
| 2021-12-15 | Bayer Leverkusen vs Hoffenheim | 2–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen?
- Tofiko's model favours Bayer 04 Leverkusen (48% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen kick off?
- Sun, 25 Oct 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 6 away wins, averaging 3.80 goals per game.