TSG 1899 Hoffenheimvs
Bayer 04 LeverkusenTSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Prediction, H2H & Stats
German BundesligaSat, 24 Oct 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Bayer 04 Leverkusen48%
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 27%
- Draw 24%
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen 48%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Bayer 04 Leverkusen, rating it at 48.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim won 2 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 24.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: WWWLW
Bayer 04 Leverkusen: WWWWD
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.80Avg goals
- 80%Both scored
- 90%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1–0 |
| 2025-08-23 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 1–2 |
| 2025-02-02 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 3–1 |
| 2024-09-14 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1–4 |
| 2024-03-30 | Bayer Leverkusen vs Hoffenheim | 2–1 |
| 2023-11-04 | Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen | 2–3 |
| 2023-02-11 | Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen | 1–3 |
| 2022-08-20 | Bayer Leverkusen vs Hoffenheim | 0–3 |
| 2022-05-07 | Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen | 2–4 |
| 2021-12-15 | Bayer Leverkusen vs Hoffenheim | 2–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen?
- Tofiko's model favours Bayer 04 Leverkusen (48% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen kick off?
- Sat, 24 Oct 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 6 away wins, averaging 3.80 goals per game.