TSG 1899 Hoffenheim crestTSG 1899 HoffenheimvsBayer 04 Leverkusen crestBayer 04 Leverkusen

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Prediction, H2H & Form

German BundesligaSun, 25 Oct 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Bayer 04 Leverkusen48%

Tofiko27% / 24% / 48%
  • TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
  • Draw
  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or draw52%
  • Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen73%
  • TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Bayer 04 Leverkusen76%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.568%
  • Under 2.532%

Both teams to score

  • TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, last 10 home games8 of 10
  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen, last 10 away games8 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Bayer 04 Leverkusen, rating it at 48.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim won 2 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 12 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: LLLWL

Bayer 04 Leverkusen: WWWDW

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 12 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 3.80Avg goals
  • 80%Both scored
  • 90%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-01-17TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen1–0
2025-08-23Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim1–2
2025-02-02Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim3–1
2024-09-14TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen1–4
2024-03-30Bayer Leverkusen vs Hoffenheim2–1
2023-11-04Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen2–3
2023-02-11Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen1–3
2022-08-20Bayer Leverkusen vs Hoffenheim0–3
2022-05-07Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen2–4
2021-12-15Bayer Leverkusen vs Hoffenheim2–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen?
Tofiko's model favours Bayer 04 Leverkusen (48% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen kick off?
Sun, 25 Oct 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
What is the TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 6 away wins, averaging 3.80 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureBayer Leverkusen vs 1899 Hoffenheim3 Mar 2027 →