1.FSV Mainz 05vs
SV Werder Bremen1.FSV Mainz 05 vs SV Werder Bremen Prediction, H2H & Stats
German BundesligaSat, 24 Oct 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs 1.FSV Mainz 0552%
- 1.FSV Mainz 05 52%
- Draw 29%
- SV Werder Bremen 19%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick 1.FSV Mainz 05, rating it at 52.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and 1.FSV Mainz 05 won 3 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- 1.FSV Mainz 05's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
1.FSV Mainz 05: DWWWW
SV Werder Bremen: WWWWL
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.10Avg goals
- 30%Both scored
- 30%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | SV Werder Bremen vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 0–2 |
| 2025-11-01 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs SV Werder Bremen | 1–1 |
| 2025-01-31 | SV Werder Bremen vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 1–0 |
| 2024-09-15 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs SV Werder Bremen | 1–2 |
| 2024-02-03 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen | 0–1 |
| 2023-09-02 | Werder Bremen vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 4–0 |
| 2023-04-08 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen | 2–2 |
| 2022-10-15 | Werder Bremen vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 0–2 |
| 2021-04-21 | Werder Bremen vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 0–1 |
| 2020-12-19 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen | 0–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs SV Werder Bremen?
- Tofiko's model favours 1.FSV Mainz 05 (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs SV Werder Bremen kick off?
- Sat, 24 Oct 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs SV Werder Bremen head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 6 away wins, averaging 2.10 goals per game.