1.FSV Mainz 05vs
SV Werder Bremen1.FSV Mainz 05 vs SV Werder Bremen Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSat, 24 Oct 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
1.FSV Mainz 05 to win52%
1X2: model backs 1.FSV Mainz 05 at 52%.
- 1.FSV Mainz 05
- Draw
- SV Werder Bremen
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
More markets
Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- 1.FSV Mainz 05 or draw81%
- Draw or SV Werder Bremen48%
- 1.FSV Mainz 05 or SV Werder Bremen71%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.552%
- Under 2.548%
Both teams to score
- 1.FSV Mainz 05, last 10 home games6 of 10
- SV Werder Bremen, last 10 away games7 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick 1.FSV Mainz 05, rating it at 52.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and 1.FSV Mainz 05 won 3 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- 1.FSV Mainz 05's games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 11 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
1.FSV Mainz 05: LWWLW
SV Werder Bremen: DLWDW
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 11 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.10Avg goals
- 30%Both scored
- 30%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | SV Werder Bremen vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 0–2 |
| 2025-11-01 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs SV Werder Bremen | 1–1 |
| 2025-01-31 | SV Werder Bremen vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 1–0 |
| 2024-09-15 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs SV Werder Bremen | 1–2 |
| 2024-02-03 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen | 0–1 |
| 2023-09-02 | Werder Bremen vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 4–0 |
| 2023-04-08 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen | 2–2 |
| 2022-10-15 | Werder Bremen vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 0–2 |
| 2021-04-21 | Werder Bremen vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 0–1 |
| 2020-12-19 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs SV Werder Bremen?
- Tofiko's model favours 1.FSV Mainz 05 (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs SV Werder Bremen kick off?
- Sat, 24 Oct 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs SV Werder Bremen head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 6 away wins, averaging 2.10 goals per game.