Hamburger SVvs
FC Bayern MunichHamburger SV vs FC Bayern Munich Prediction, H2H & Stats
German BundesligaSat, 28 Nov 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Bayern Munich72%
- Hamburger SV 11%
- Draw 17%
- FC Bayern Munich 72%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Bayern Munich, rating it at 72.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Hamburger SV won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 72.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 17.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Hamburger SV: LWLDW
FC Bayern Munich: LWWWD
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 4.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | Hamburger SV vs FC Bayern Munich | 2–2 |
| 2025-09-13 | FC Bayern Munich vs Hamburger SV | 5–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Hamburger SV vs FC Bayern Munich?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Bayern Munich (72% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Hamburger SV vs FC Bayern Munich kick off?
- Sat, 28 Nov 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the Hamburger SV vs FC Bayern Munich head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.50 goals per game.