Hamburger SV crestHamburger SVvsFC Bayern Munich crestFC Bayern Munich

Hamburger SV vs FC Bayern Munich Prediction, H2H & Form

German BundesligaSat, 28 Nov 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

FC Bayern Munich to win72%

1X2: model backs FC Bayern Munich at 72%.

Tofiko11% / 17% / 72%
  • Hamburger SV
  • Draw
  • FC Bayern Munich

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Hamburger SV or draw28%
  • Draw or FC Bayern Munich89%
  • Hamburger SV or FC Bayern Munich83%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.570%
  • Under 2.530%

Both teams to score

  • Hamburger SV, last 10 home games6 of 10
  • FC Bayern Munich, last 10 away games8 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick FC Bayern Munich, rating it at 72.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Hamburger SV won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

What to keep in mind

  • FC Bayern Munich's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 45 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Hamburger SV: WWWLL

FC Bayern Munich: DDWWW

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 45 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 2Games
  • 4.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-01-31Hamburger SV vs FC Bayern Munich2–2
2025-09-13FC Bayern Munich vs Hamburger SV5–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Hamburger SV vs FC Bayern Munich?
Tofiko's model favours FC Bayern Munich (72% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Hamburger SV vs FC Bayern Munich kick off?
Sat, 28 Nov 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
What is the Hamburger SV vs FC Bayern Munich head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureBayern München vs Hamburger SV3 Apr 2027 →