1.FSV Mainz 05 crest1.FSV Mainz 05vs1. FC Union Berlin crest1. FC Union Berlin

1.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin Prediction, H2H & Form

German BundesligaSat, 28 Nov 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs 1.FSV Mainz 0546%

Tofiko46% / 32% / 23%
  • 1.FSV Mainz 05
  • Draw
  • 1. FC Union Berlin

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick 1.FSV Mainz 05, rating it at 45.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and 1.FSV Mainz 05 won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

What to keep in mind

  • 1. FC Union Berlin's games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 22 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 67 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

1.FSV Mainz 05: WLWDW

1. FC Union Berlin: LLLDW

Head-to-head

As of 22 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 67 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 90%Both scored
  • 70%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-101.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin1–3
2026-01-101. FC Union Berlin vs 1.FSV Mainz 052–2
2025-01-191. FC Union Berlin vs 1.FSV Mainz 052–1
2024-08-241.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin1–1
2024-02-071.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin1–1
2023-08-201. FC Union Berlin vs 1.FSV Mainz 054–1
2023-02-041. FC Union Berlin vs 1.FSV Mainz 052–1
2022-08-141.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin0–0
2022-02-261. FC Union Berlin vs 1.FSV Mainz 053–1
2021-10-031.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin1–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin?
Tofiko's model favours 1.FSV Mainz 05 (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin kick off?
Sat, 28 Nov 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
What is the 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 4 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureUnion Berlin vs FSV Mainz 053 Apr 2027 →