1.FSV Mainz 05vs
1. FC Union Berlin1.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSat, 28 Nov 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
1.FSV Mainz 05 or draw77%
1X2: model backs 1.FSV Mainz 05 at 46% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- 1.FSV Mainz 05
- Draw
- 1. FC Union Berlin
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
More markets
Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- 1.FSV Mainz 05 or draw77%
- Draw or 1. FC Union Berlin54%
- 1.FSV Mainz 05 or 1. FC Union Berlin68%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.544%
- Under 2.556%
Both teams to score
- 1.FSV Mainz 05, last 10 home games6 of 10
- 1. FC Union Berlin, last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick 1.FSV Mainz 05, rating it at 45.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and 1.FSV Mainz 05 won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. 1.FSV Mainz 05's last 5 produced 26 goals — 5.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. 1. FC Union Berlin's 5 produced 17, at 3.4 per game.
What to keep in mind
- 1.FSV Mainz 05's games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 47 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
1.FSV Mainz 05: LWWLW
1. FC Union Berlin: WWLLL
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 47 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 90%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 1–3 |
| 2026-01-10 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 2–2 |
| 2025-01-19 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 2–1 |
| 2024-08-24 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 1–1 |
| 2024-02-07 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 1–1 |
| 2023-08-20 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 4–1 |
| 2023-02-04 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 2–1 |
| 2022-08-14 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 0–0 |
| 2022-02-26 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 3–1 |
| 2021-10-03 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin?
- Tofiko's model favours 1.FSV Mainz 05 (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin kick off?
- Sat, 28 Nov 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 4 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.