1.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSat, 28 Nov 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs 1.FSV Mainz 0546%
Tofiko46% / 32% / 23%
- 1.FSV Mainz 05
- Draw
- 1. FC Union Berlin
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick 1.FSV Mainz 05, rating it at 45.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and 1.FSV Mainz 05 won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- 1. FC Union Berlin's games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 22 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 67 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
1.FSV Mainz 05: WLWDW
1. FC Union Berlin: LLLDW
Head-to-head
As of 22 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 67 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 90%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 1–3 |
| 2026-01-10 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 2–2 |
| 2025-01-19 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 2–1 |
| 2024-08-24 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 1–1 |
| 2024-02-07 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 1–1 |
| 2023-08-20 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 4–1 |
| 2023-02-04 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 2–1 |
| 2022-08-14 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 0–0 |
| 2022-02-26 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 3–1 |
| 2021-10-03 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin?
- Tofiko's model favours 1.FSV Mainz 05 (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin kick off?
- Sat, 28 Nov 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 4 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.