1.FSV Mainz 05vs
1. FC Union Berlin1.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin Prediction, H2H & Stats
German BundesligaSat, 28 Nov 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs 1.FSV Mainz 0546%
- 1.FSV Mainz 05 46%
- Draw 32%
- 1. FC Union Berlin 23%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick 1.FSV Mainz 05, rating it at 45.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and 1.FSV Mainz 05 won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. 1.FSV Mainz 05's last 5 produced 25 goals — 5.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 2. 1. FC Union Berlin's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- 1.FSV Mainz 05's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
1.FSV Mainz 05: DWWWW
1. FC Union Berlin: LLDLD
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 90%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 1–3 |
| 2026-01-10 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 2–2 |
| 2025-01-19 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 2–1 |
| 2024-08-24 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 1–1 |
| 2024-02-07 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 1–1 |
| 2023-08-20 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 4–1 |
| 2023-02-04 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 2–1 |
| 2022-08-14 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 0–0 |
| 2022-02-26 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 3–1 |
| 2021-10-03 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin?
- Tofiko's model favours 1.FSV Mainz 05 (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin kick off?
- Sat, 28 Nov 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 4 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.