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SC Paderborn 07 crestSC Paderborn 07vsFC Schalke 04 crestFC Schalke 04

SC Paderborn 07 vs FC Schalke 04 Prediction, H2H & Stats

German BundesligaSat, 28 Nov 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs SC Paderborn 0764%

SC Paderborn 07 64%
Draw 23%
FC Schalke 04 13%
  • SC Paderborn 07 64%
  • Draw 23%
  • FC Schalke 04 13%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick SC Paderborn 07, rating it at 64.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and SC Paderborn 07 won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 64.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. FC Schalke 04's last 5 produced 18 goals — 3.6 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 3. SC Paderborn 07's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.

The model puts the draw at 22.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

SC Paderborn 07: WWDDW

FC Schalke 04: WWWWL

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 4.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-26SC Paderborn 07 vs FC Schalke 042–3
2025-11-28FC Schalke 04 vs SC Paderborn 072–1

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FAQ

Who will win SC Paderborn 07 vs FC Schalke 04?
Tofiko's model favours SC Paderborn 07 (64% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does SC Paderborn 07 vs FC Schalke 04 kick off?
Sat, 28 Nov 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
What is the SC Paderborn 07 vs FC Schalke 04 head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.

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