Borussia Dortmundvs
Bayer 04 LeverkusenBorussia Dortmund vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSun, 29 Nov 2026 18:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Borussia Dortmund or draw74%
1X2: model backs Borussia Dortmund at 49% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- Borussia Dortmund
- Draw
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Borussia Dortmund or draw74%
- Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen51%
- Borussia Dortmund or Bayer 04 Leverkusen74%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.568%
- Under 2.532%
Both teams to score
- Borussia Dortmund, last 10 home games6 of 10
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen, last 10 away games8 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Borussia Dortmund, rating it at 48.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Borussia Dortmund won 5 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 47 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Borussia Dortmund: DWWWW
Bayer 04 Leverkusen: WWWDW
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 47 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.60Avg goals
- 70%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 0–1 |
| 2025-11-29 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund | 1–2 |
| 2025-05-11 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund | 2–4 |
| 2025-01-10 | Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 2–3 |
| 2024-04-21 | Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen | 1–1 |
| 2023-12-03 | Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund | 1–1 |
| 2023-01-29 | Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund | 0–2 |
| 2022-08-06 | Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen | 1–0 |
| 2022-02-06 | Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen | 2–5 |
| 2021-09-11 | Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund | 3–4 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen?
- Tofiko's model favours Borussia Dortmund (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen kick off?
- Sun, 29 Nov 2026 18:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 7 away wins, averaging 3.60 goals per game.