SC Freiburg crestSC FreiburgvsTSG 1899 Hoffenheim crestTSG 1899 Hoffenheim

SC Freiburg vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Prediction, H2H & Form

German BundesligaSat, 05 Dec 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

SC Freiburg or draw73%

1X2: model backs SC Freiburg at 46% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.

Tofiko46% / 27% / 27%
  • SC Freiburg
  • Draw
  • TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • SC Freiburg or draw73%
  • Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim54%
  • SC Freiburg or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim73%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.564%
  • Under 2.536%

Both teams to score

  • SC Freiburg, last 10 home games5 of 10
  • TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, last 10 away games5 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick SC Freiburg, rating it at 46.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and SC Freiburg won 5 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 53 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

SC Freiburg: WWDWW

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: LLLWL

Head-to-head

As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 53 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 3.30Avg goals
  • 80%Both scored
  • 70%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-14TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs SC Freiburg3–0
2025-09-28SC Freiburg vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim1–1
2025-04-19SC Freiburg vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim3–2
2024-12-08TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs SC Freiburg1–1
2024-01-20SC Freiburg vs Hoffenheim3–2
2023-08-19Hoffenheim vs SC Freiburg1–2
2023-03-12SC Freiburg vs Hoffenheim2–1
2022-09-18Hoffenheim vs SC Freiburg0–0
2022-04-30Hoffenheim vs SC Freiburg3–4
2021-12-11SC Freiburg vs Hoffenheim1–2

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FAQ

Who will win SC Freiburg vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim?
Tofiko's model favours SC Freiburg (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does SC Freiburg vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim kick off?
Sat, 05 Dec 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
What is the SC Freiburg vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.30 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixture1899 Hoffenheim vs SC Freiburg10 Apr 2027 →