Bayer 04 Leverkusenvs
Borussia MonchengladbachBayer 04 Leverkusen vs Borussia Monchengladbach Prediction, H2H & Stats
German BundesligaSat, 05 Dec 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Bayer 04 Leverkusen67%
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen 67%
- Draw 20%
- Borussia Monchengladbach 12%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Bayer 04 Leverkusen, rating it at 67.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Bayer 04 Leverkusen won 2 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 20.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Borussia Monchengladbach's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Bayer 04 Leverkusen: WWWWD
Borussia Monchengladbach: WWWWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.20Avg goals
- 70%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-07 | Borussia Monchengladbach vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1–1 |
| 2025-09-21 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Borussia Monchengladbach | 1–1 |
| 2025-01-18 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Borussia Monchengladbach | 3–1 |
| 2024-08-23 | Borussia Monchengladbach vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 2–3 |
| 2024-01-27 | Bayer Leverkusen vs Monchengladbach | 0–0 |
| 2023-08-26 | Monchengladbach vs Bayer Leverkusen | 0–3 |
| 2023-05-21 | Bayer Leverkusen vs Monchengladbach | 2–2 |
| 2023-01-22 | Monchengladbach vs Bayer Leverkusen | 2–3 |
| 2022-01-15 | Monchengladbach vs Bayer Leverkusen | 1–2 |
| 2021-08-21 | Bayer Leverkusen vs Monchengladbach | 4–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Borussia Monchengladbach?
- Tofiko's model favours Bayer 04 Leverkusen (67% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Borussia Monchengladbach kick off?
- Sat, 05 Dec 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Borussia Monchengladbach head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 2 home wins, 4 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.20 goals per game.