Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Borussia Monchengladbach Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSat, 05 Dec 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win67%
1X2: model backs Bayer 04 Leverkusen at 67%.
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen
- Draw
- Borussia Monchengladbach
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen or draw88%
- Draw or Borussia Monchengladbach33%
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Borussia Monchengladbach80%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.569%
- Under 2.531%
Both teams to score
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen, last 10 home games4 of 10
- Borussia Monchengladbach, last 10 away games4 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Bayer 04 Leverkusen, rating it at 67.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Bayer 04 Leverkusen won 2 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- Borussia Monchengladbach's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 53 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen: WWWDW
Borussia Monchengladbach: LDWLL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 53 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.20Avg goals
- 70%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-07 | Borussia Monchengladbach vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1–1 |
| 2025-09-21 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Borussia Monchengladbach | 1–1 |
| 2025-01-18 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Borussia Monchengladbach | 3–1 |
| 2024-08-23 | Borussia Monchengladbach vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 2–3 |
| 2024-01-27 | Bayer Leverkusen vs Monchengladbach | 0–0 |
| 2023-08-26 | Monchengladbach vs Bayer Leverkusen | 0–3 |
| 2023-05-21 | Bayer Leverkusen vs Monchengladbach | 2–2 |
| 2023-01-22 | Monchengladbach vs Bayer Leverkusen | 2–3 |
| 2022-01-15 | Monchengladbach vs Bayer Leverkusen | 1–2 |
| 2021-08-21 | Bayer Leverkusen vs Monchengladbach | 4–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Borussia Monchengladbach?
- Tofiko's model favours Bayer 04 Leverkusen (67% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Borussia Monchengladbach kick off?
- Sat, 05 Dec 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Borussia Monchengladbach head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 2 home wins, 4 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.20 goals per game.