FC Schalke 04vs
Borussia DortmundFC Schalke 04 vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSat, 05 Dec 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Borussia Dortmund74%
- FC Schalke 04 10%
- Draw 16%
- Borussia Dortmund 74%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Borussia Dortmund, rating it at 74.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and FC Schalke 04 won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 74.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 15.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Borussia Dortmund's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 3 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 94 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
FC Schalke 04: LDLLW
Borussia Dortmund: WWLDD
Head-to-head
As of 3 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 94 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 4Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-03-11 | Schalke 04 vs Borussia Dortmund | 2–2 |
| 2022-09-17 | Borussia Dortmund vs Schalke 04 | 1–0 |
| 2021-02-20 | Schalke 04 vs Borussia Dortmund | 0–4 |
| 2020-10-24 | Borussia Dortmund vs Schalke 04 | 3–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC Schalke 04 vs Borussia Dortmund?
- Tofiko's model favours Borussia Dortmund (74% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Schalke 04 vs Borussia Dortmund kick off?
- Sat, 05 Dec 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the FC Schalke 04 vs Borussia Dortmund head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.