Burnleyvs
Leicester CityBurnley 0-2 Leicester City — Result, H2H & Form
English Premier League 2021-2022Tue, 01 Mar 2022 19:45 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Burnley38%
- Burnley 38%
- Draw 24%
- Leicester City 38%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Burnley, rating it at 38.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Burnley won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 38.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
Burnley: DLDLD
Leicester City: WDLLD
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2022-03-01 | Burnley vs Leicester City | 0–2 |
| 2021-09-25 | Leicester City vs Burnley | 2–2 |
| 2021-03-03 | Burnley vs Leicester City | 1–1 |
| 2020-09-20 | Leicester City vs Burnley | 4–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Burnley vs Leicester City?
- Tofiko's model favours Burnley (38% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Burnley vs Leicester City kick off?
- Tue, 01 Mar 2022 19:45 GMT — English Premier League 2021-2022.
- What is the Burnley vs Leicester City head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.