Coventry Cityvs
Derby County F.C.Coventry City 3-2 Derby County F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipFri, 03 Apr 2026 19:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Coventry City62%
Tofiko62% / 20% / 18%
Market60% / 23% / 18%
- Coventry City
- Draw
- Derby County F.C.
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Coventry City, rating it at 61.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Coventry City won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
Recent form
As of 23 Sep 2026.
Coventry City: WLLLL
Derby County F.C.: DLLLW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 6.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-03 | Coventry City vs Derby County F.C. | 3–2 |
| 2025-08-16 | Derby County F.C. vs Coventry City | 3–5 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Coventry City vs Derby County F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Coventry City (62% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Coventry City vs Derby County F.C. kick off?
- Fri, 03 Apr 2026 19:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Coventry City vs Derby County F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 6.50 goals per game.