Derby County F.C.vs
Coventry CityDerby County F.C. 3-5 Coventry City — Result, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipSat, 16 Aug 2025 11:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Coventry City46%
Tofiko32% / 22% / 46%
Market33% / 29% / 38%
- Derby County F.C.
- Draw
- Coventry City
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Coventry City, rating it at 46.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Derby County F.C. won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
Recent form
As of 23 Sep 2026.
Derby County F.C.: DLLLW
Coventry City: WLLLL
Head-to-head
As of 23 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 6.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-03 | Coventry City vs Derby County F.C. | 3–2 |
| 2025-08-16 | Derby County F.C. vs Coventry City | 3–5 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Derby County F.C. vs Coventry City?
- Tofiko's model favours Coventry City (46% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Derby County F.C. vs Coventry City kick off?
- Sat, 16 Aug 2025 11:30 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Derby County F.C. vs Coventry City head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 6.50 goals per game.