Norwich City crestNorwich CityvsNewcastle crestNewcastle

Norwich City 0-3 Newcastle — Result, H2H & Form

English Premier League 2021-2022Sat, 23 Apr 2022 14:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Newcastle67%

  • Norwich City 15%
  • Draw 19%
  • Newcastle 67%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Newcastle, rating it at 66.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Norwich City won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 66.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 18.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 4 Sep 2026.

Norwich City: LWWLL

Newcastle: WWDDL

Head-to-head

As of 4 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2022-04-23Norwich City vs Newcastle0–3
2021-11-30Newcastle vs Norwich City1–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Norwich City vs Newcastle?
Tofiko's model favours Newcastle (67% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Norwich City vs Newcastle kick off?
Sat, 23 Apr 2022 14:00 GMT — English Premier League 2021-2022.
What is the Norwich City vs Newcastle head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legNewcastle 1-1 Norwich30 Nov 2021 →