Oxford United F.C.vs
Derby County F.C.Oxford United F.C. 1-0 Derby County F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipSat, 18 Oct 2025 11:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Derby County F.C.40%
Tofiko35% / 25% / 40%
Market39% / 30% / 31%
- Oxford United F.C.
- Draw
- Derby County F.C.
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Derby County F.C., rating it at 40.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Oxford United F.C. won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
Recent form
As of 23 Sep 2026.
Oxford United F.C.: DWWLW
Derby County F.C.: DLLLW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 1.00Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Derby County F.C. vs Oxford United F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Oxford United F.C. vs Derby County F.C. | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Oxford United F.C. vs Derby County F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Derby County F.C. (40% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Oxford United F.C. vs Derby County F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 18 Oct 2025 11:30 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Oxford United F.C. vs Derby County F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.00 goals per game.