Southampton F.C.vs
Chelsea F.C.Southampton F.C. 1-5 Chelsea F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
English Premier League 2024-2025Wed, 04 Dec 2024 19:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Chelsea F.C.63%
- Southampton F.C.
- Draw
- Chelsea F.C.
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Chelsea F.C., rating it at 62.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Southampton F.C. won none of them. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Chelsea F.C.'s last 5 produced 26 goals — 5.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Southampton F.C.'s 5 produced 16, at 3.2 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Chelsea F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 24 Sep 2026.
Southampton F.C.: LWWDD
Chelsea F.C.: LDWLW
Head-to-head
As of 24 Sep 2026.
- 8Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 63%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-25 | Chelsea F.C. vs Southampton F.C. | 4–0 |
| 2024-12-04 | Southampton F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 1–5 |
| 2023-02-18 | Chelsea FC vs Southampton | 0–1 |
| 2022-08-30 | Southampton vs Chelsea FC | 2–1 |
| 2022-04-09 | Southampton vs Chelsea FC | 0–6 |
| 2021-10-02 | Chelsea FC vs Southampton | 3–1 |
| 2021-02-20 | Southampton vs Chelsea FC | 1–1 |
| 2020-10-17 | Chelsea FC vs Southampton | 3–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Southampton F.C. vs Chelsea F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Chelsea F.C. (63% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Southampton F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. kick off?
- Wed, 04 Dec 2024 19:30 GMT — English Premier League 2024-2025.
- What is the Southampton F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.