Watford crestWatfordvsChelsea FC crestChelsea FC

Watford 1-2 Chelsea FC — Result, H2H & Form

English Premier League 2021-2022Wed, 01 Dec 2021 19:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Chelsea FC65%

Tofiko15% / 20% / 65%
Market11% / 19% / 71%
  • Watford
  • Draw
  • Chelsea FC

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Chelsea FC, rating it at 65.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Watford won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Chelsea FC's last 5 produced 26 goals — 5.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Watford's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Chelsea FC's games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 26 Sep 2026.

Watford: LLWLL

Chelsea FC: LDWLW

Head-to-head

As of 26 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2022-05-22Chelsea FC vs Watford2–1
2021-12-01Watford vs Chelsea FC1–2

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FAQ

Who will win Watford vs Chelsea FC?
Tofiko's model favours Chelsea FC (65% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Watford vs Chelsea FC kick off?
Wed, 01 Dec 2021 19:30 GMT — English Premier League 2021-2022.
What is the Watford vs Chelsea FC head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legChelsea 2-1 Watford22 May 2022 →