Chelsea FC crestChelsea FCvsWatford crestWatford

Chelsea FC 2-1 Watford — Result, H2H & Form

English Premier League 2021-2022Sun, 22 May 2022 15:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Chelsea FC76%

Tofiko76% / 16% / 7%
Market83% / 12% / 5%
  • Chelsea FC
  • Draw
  • Watford

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Chelsea FC, rating it at 76.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Chelsea FC won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Chelsea FC's last 5 produced 26 goals — 5.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Watford's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Chelsea FC's games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 25 Sep 2026.

Chelsea FC: LDWLW

Watford: LLWLL

Head-to-head

As of 25 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2022-05-22Chelsea FC vs Watford2–1
2021-12-01Watford vs Chelsea FC1–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Chelsea FC vs Watford?
Tofiko's model favours Chelsea FC (76% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Chelsea FC vs Watford kick off?
Sun, 22 May 2022 15:00 GMT — English Premier League 2021-2022.
What is the Chelsea FC vs Watford head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

First legWatford 1-2 Chelsea1 Dec 2021 →