Deportivo Alaves vs Levante UD Prediction, H2H & Form
La LigaSun, 09 May 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Deportivo Alaves or draw72%
1X2: model backs Deportivo Alaves at 42% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- Deportivo Alaves
- Draw
- Levante UD
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Deportivo Alaves or draw72%
- Draw or Levante UD58%
- Deportivo Alaves or Levante UD70%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.551%
- Under 2.550%
Both teams to score
- Deportivo Alaves, last 10 home games5 of 10
- Levante UD, last 10 away games5 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Deportivo Alaves, rating it at 41.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and Deportivo Alaves won 1 of 6, with 2 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Levante UD's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. Deportivo Alaves's 5 produced 14, at 2.8 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Levante UD's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 207 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Deportivo Alaves: LDLLW
Levante UD: DLLDW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 207 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 6Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 83%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-27 | Levante UD vs Deportivo Alaves | 2–0 |
| 2025-08-16 | Deportivo Alaves vs Levante UD | 2–1 |
| 2022-05-15 | Levante vs Alaves | 3–1 |
| 2021-11-06 | Alaves vs Levante | 2–1 |
| 2021-05-08 | Alaves vs Levante | 2–2 |
| 2020-11-08 | Levante vs Alaves | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Deportivo Alaves vs Levante UD?
- Tofiko's model favours Deportivo Alaves (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Deportivo Alaves vs Levante UD kick off?
- Sun, 09 May 2027 15:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Deportivo Alaves vs Levante UD head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.