Deportivo Alaves vs Real Madrid CF Prediction, H2H & Form
La LigaSun, 23 May 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Real Madrid CF to win66%
1X2: model backs Real Madrid CF at 66%.
- Deportivo Alaves
- Draw
- Real Madrid CF
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Deportivo Alaves or draw34%
- Draw or Real Madrid CF88%
- Deportivo Alaves or Real Madrid CF79%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.551%
- Under 2.549%
Both teams to score
- Deportivo Alaves, last 10 home games5 of 10
- Real Madrid CF, last 10 away games4 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Real Madrid CF, rating it at 66.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Deportivo Alaves won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 222 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Deportivo Alaves: LDLLW
Real Madrid CF: WLWWW
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 222 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.40Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 80%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-21 | Real Madrid CF vs Deportivo Alaves | 2–1 |
| 2025-12-14 | Deportivo Alaves vs Real Madrid CF | 1–2 |
| 2025-04-13 | Deportivo Alaves vs Real Madrid CF | 0–1 |
| 2024-09-24 | Real Madrid CF vs Deportivo Alaves | 3–2 |
| 2024-05-14 | Real Madrid vs Alaves | 5–0 |
| 2023-12-21 | Alaves vs Real Madrid | 0–1 |
| 2022-02-19 | Real Madrid vs Alaves | 3–0 |
| 2021-08-14 | Alaves vs Real Madrid | 1–4 |
| 2021-01-23 | Alaves vs Real Madrid | 1–4 |
| 2020-11-28 | Real Madrid vs Alaves | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Deportivo Alaves vs Real Madrid CF?
- Tofiko's model favours Real Madrid CF (66% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Deportivo Alaves vs Real Madrid CF kick off?
- Sun, 23 May 2027 15:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Deportivo Alaves vs Real Madrid CF head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 0 draws, 6 away wins, averaging 3.40 goals per game.