Deportivo Alaves crestDeportivo AlavesvsSevilla FC crestSevilla FC

Deportivo Alaves vs Sevilla FC Prediction, H2H & Form

La LigaSun, 14 Mar 2027 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Deportivo Alaves35%

Tofiko35% / 33% / 33%
  • Deportivo Alaves
  • Draw
  • Sevilla FC

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Deportivo Alaves or draw67%
  • Draw or Sevilla FC65%
  • Deportivo Alaves or Sevilla FC67%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.540%
  • Under 2.560%

Both teams to score

  • Deportivo Alaves, last 10 home games5 of 10
  • Sevilla FC, last 10 away games5 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Deportivo Alaves, rating it at 34.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Deportivo Alaves won 1 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 151 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Deportivo Alaves: LDLLW

Sevilla FC: DLLWW

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 151 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 80%Both scored
  • 60%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-14Sevilla FC vs Deportivo Alaves1–1
2025-09-20Deportivo Alaves vs Sevilla FC1–2
2025-04-20Sevilla FC vs Deportivo Alaves1–1
2024-09-20Deportivo Alaves vs Sevilla FC2–1
2024-01-12Sevilla vs Alaves2–3
2023-08-21Alaves vs Sevilla4–3
2022-03-04Alaves vs Sevilla0–0
2021-11-20Sevilla vs Alaves2–2
2021-05-23Sevilla vs Alaves1–0
2021-01-19Alaves vs Sevilla1–2

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FAQ

Who will win Deportivo Alaves vs Sevilla FC?
Tofiko's model favours Deportivo Alaves (35% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Deportivo Alaves vs Sevilla FC kick off?
Sun, 14 Mar 2027 17:00 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Deportivo Alaves vs Sevilla FC head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 4 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureSevilla vs Alaves6 Nov 2026 →