Athletic Bilbaovs
FC BarcelonaAthletic Bilbao vs FC Barcelona Prediction, H2H & Form
La LigaSun, 28 Feb 2027 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
FC Barcelona to win56%
1X2: model backs FC Barcelona at 56%.
- Athletic Bilbao
- Draw
- FC Barcelona
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Athletic Bilbao or draw44%
- Draw or FC Barcelona83%
- Athletic Bilbao or FC Barcelona73%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.550%
- Under 2.550%
Both teams to score
- Athletic Bilbao, last 10 home games6 of 10
- FC Barcelona, last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Barcelona, rating it at 56.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Athletic Bilbao won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. FC Barcelona's last 5 produced 27 goals — 5.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Athletic Bilbao's 5 produced 6, at 1.2 per game.
What to keep in mind
- FC Barcelona's games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 138 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Athletic Bilbao: DWDDW
FC Barcelona: WWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 138 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.30Avg goals
- 10%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | FC Barcelona vs Athletic Bilbao | 2–0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Athletic Bilbao vs FC Barcelona | 0–1 |
| 2025-11-22 | FC Barcelona vs Athletic Bilbao | 4–0 |
| 2025-05-25 | Athletic Bilbao vs FC Barcelona | 0–3 |
| 2024-08-24 | FC Barcelona vs Athletic Bilbao | 2–1 |
| 2024-03-03 | Athletic Bilbao vs Barcelona | 0–0 |
| 2023-10-22 | Barcelona vs Athletic Bilbao | 1–0 |
| 2023-03-12 | Athletic Bilbao vs Barcelona | 0–1 |
| 2022-10-23 | Barcelona vs Athletic Bilbao | 4–0 |
| 2022-02-27 | Barcelona vs Athletic Bilbao | 4–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Athletic Bilbao vs FC Barcelona?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Barcelona (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Athletic Bilbao vs FC Barcelona kick off?
- Sun, 28 Feb 2027 17:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Athletic Bilbao vs FC Barcelona head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.30 goals per game.