Athletic Bilbao crestAthletic BilbaovsRC Celta de Vigo crestRC Celta de Vigo

Athletic Bilbao vs RC Celta de Vigo Prediction, H2H & Form

La LigaSun, 21 Feb 2027 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

Athletic Bilbao or draw76%

1X2: model backs Athletic Bilbao at 46% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.

Tofiko46% / 30% / 24%
  • Athletic Bilbao
  • Draw
  • RC Celta de Vigo

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Athletic Bilbao or draw76%
  • Draw or RC Celta de Vigo54%
  • Athletic Bilbao or RC Celta de Vigo70%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.546%
  • Under 2.554%

Both teams to score

  • Athletic Bilbao, last 10 home games6 of 10
  • RC Celta de Vigo, last 10 away games5 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Athletic Bilbao, rating it at 45.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Athletic Bilbao won 5 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 131 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Athletic Bilbao: DWDDW

RC Celta de Vigo: DWLDD

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 131 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 2.90Avg goals
  • 60%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-30RC Celta de Vigo vs Athletic Bilbao0–2
2026-05-17Athletic Bilbao vs RC Celta de Vigo1–1
2025-12-14RC Celta de Vigo vs Athletic Bilbao2–0
2025-01-19RC Celta de Vigo vs Athletic Bilbao1–2
2024-09-22Athletic Bilbao vs RC Celta de Vigo3–1
2024-05-15Celta Vigo vs Athletic Bilbao2–1
2023-11-10Athletic Bilbao vs Celta Vigo4–3
2023-05-20Athletic Bilbao vs Celta Vigo2–1
2023-01-29Celta Vigo vs Athletic Bilbao1–0
2022-04-17Athletic Bilbao vs Celta Vigo0–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Athletic Bilbao vs RC Celta de Vigo?
Tofiko's model favours Athletic Bilbao (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Athletic Bilbao vs RC Celta de Vigo kick off?
Sun, 21 Feb 2027 17:00 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Athletic Bilbao vs RC Celta de Vigo head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.90 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legCelta Vigo 0-2 Athletic Club30 Aug 2026 →