Athletic Bilbao vs RC Celta de Vigo Prediction, H2H & Form
La LigaSun, 21 Feb 2027 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Athletic Bilbao or draw76%
1X2: model backs Athletic Bilbao at 46% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- Athletic Bilbao
- Draw
- RC Celta de Vigo
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Athletic Bilbao or draw76%
- Draw or RC Celta de Vigo54%
- Athletic Bilbao or RC Celta de Vigo70%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.546%
- Under 2.554%
Both teams to score
- Athletic Bilbao, last 10 home games6 of 10
- RC Celta de Vigo, last 10 away games5 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Athletic Bilbao, rating it at 45.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Athletic Bilbao won 5 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 131 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Athletic Bilbao: DWDDW
RC Celta de Vigo: DWLDD
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 131 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.90Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | RC Celta de Vigo vs Athletic Bilbao | 0–2 |
| 2026-05-17 | Athletic Bilbao vs RC Celta de Vigo | 1–1 |
| 2025-12-14 | RC Celta de Vigo vs Athletic Bilbao | 2–0 |
| 2025-01-19 | RC Celta de Vigo vs Athletic Bilbao | 1–2 |
| 2024-09-22 | Athletic Bilbao vs RC Celta de Vigo | 3–1 |
| 2024-05-15 | Celta Vigo vs Athletic Bilbao | 2–1 |
| 2023-11-10 | Athletic Bilbao vs Celta Vigo | 4–3 |
| 2023-05-20 | Athletic Bilbao vs Celta Vigo | 2–1 |
| 2023-01-29 | Celta Vigo vs Athletic Bilbao | 1–0 |
| 2022-04-17 | Athletic Bilbao vs Celta Vigo | 0–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Athletic Bilbao vs RC Celta de Vigo?
- Tofiko's model favours Athletic Bilbao (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Athletic Bilbao vs RC Celta de Vigo kick off?
- Sun, 21 Feb 2027 17:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Athletic Bilbao vs RC Celta de Vigo head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.90 goals per game.