Athletic Bilbao crestAthletic BilbaovsCA Osasuna crestCA Osasuna

Athletic Bilbao vs CA Osasuna Prediction, H2H & Form

La LigaSun, 07 Feb 2027 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

Athletic Bilbao to win51%

1X2: model backs Athletic Bilbao at 51%.

Tofiko51% / 31% / 18%
  • Athletic Bilbao
  • Draw
  • CA Osasuna

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Athletic Bilbao or draw82%
  • Draw or CA Osasuna49%
  • Athletic Bilbao or CA Osasuna69%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.539%
  • Under 2.561%

Both teams to score

  • Athletic Bilbao, last 10 home games6 of 10
  • CA Osasuna, last 10 away games8 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Athletic Bilbao, rating it at 51.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Athletic Bilbao won 5 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

They arrive from very different football. CA Osasuna's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. Athletic Bilbao's 5 produced 6, at 1.2 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • CA Osasuna's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 117 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Athletic Bilbao: DWDDW

CA Osasuna: LDLLL

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 117 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 40%Both scored
  • 30%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-21Athletic Bilbao vs CA Osasuna1–0
2026-01-03CA Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao1–1
2025-03-30Athletic Bilbao vs CA Osasuna0–0
2024-12-21CA Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao1–2
2024-05-11Athletic Bilbao vs Osasuna2–2
2023-08-19Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao0–2
2023-05-25Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao2–0
2023-01-09Athletic Bilbao vs Osasuna0–0
2022-05-15Athletic Bilbao vs Osasuna2–0
2022-01-03Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao1–3

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FAQ

Who will win Athletic Bilbao vs CA Osasuna?
Tofiko's model favours Athletic Bilbao (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Athletic Bilbao vs CA Osasuna kick off?
Sun, 07 Feb 2027 17:00 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Athletic Bilbao vs CA Osasuna head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 4 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureOsasuna vs Athletic Club8 Nov 2026 →