Athletic Bilbaovs
Real SociedadAthletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad Prediction, H2H & Stats
La LigaSun, 01 Nov 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Athletic Bilbao42%
- Athletic Bilbao 42%
- Draw 34%
- Real Sociedad 24%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Athletic Bilbao, rating it at 42.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Athletic Bilbao won 4 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Athletic Bilbao's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 1. Real Sociedad's 5 produced 15, at 3.0 per game.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Athletic Bilbao's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Athletic Bilbao: WWDWW
Real Sociedad: LWWDL
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.60Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-01 | Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad | 1–1 |
| 2025-11-01 | Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao | 3–2 |
| 2025-05-04 | Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao | 0–0 |
| 2024-11-24 | Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad | 1–0 |
| 2024-01-13 | Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad | 2–1 |
| 2023-09-30 | Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao | 3–0 |
| 2023-04-15 | Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad | 2–0 |
| 2023-01-14 | Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao | 3–1 |
| 2022-02-20 | Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad | 4–0 |
| 2021-10-31 | Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad?
- Tofiko's model favours Athletic Bilbao (42% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad kick off?
- Sun, 01 Nov 2026 15:59 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 3 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.60 goals per game.