Athletic Bilbaovs
Real SociedadAthletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad Prediction, H2H & Form
La LigaSun, 01 Nov 2026 20:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Athletic Bilbao42%
- Athletic Bilbao
- Draw
- Real Sociedad
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
More markets
Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Athletic Bilbao or draw76%
- Draw or Real Sociedad58%
- Athletic Bilbao or Real Sociedad66%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.537%
- Under 2.563%
Both teams to score
- Athletic Bilbao, last 10 home games6 of 10
- Real Sociedad, last 10 away games9 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Athletic Bilbao, rating it at 42.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Athletic Bilbao won 5 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Real Sociedad's last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. Athletic Bilbao's 5 produced 6, at 1.2 per game.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 19 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Athletic Bilbao: DWDDW
Real Sociedad: WLWLL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 19 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao | 0–1 |
| 2026-02-01 | Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad | 1–1 |
| 2025-11-01 | Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao | 3–2 |
| 2025-05-04 | Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao | 0–0 |
| 2024-11-24 | Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad | 1–0 |
| 2024-01-13 | Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad | 2–1 |
| 2023-09-30 | Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao | 3–0 |
| 2023-04-15 | Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad | 2–0 |
| 2023-01-14 | Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao | 3–1 |
| 2022-02-20 | Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad | 4–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad?
- Tofiko's model favours Athletic Bilbao (42% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad kick off?
- Sun, 01 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.