Rayo Vallecano vs RC Celta de Vigo Prediction, H2H & Form
La LigaSun, 01 Nov 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Rayo Vallecano39%
- Rayo Vallecano 39%
- Draw 33%
- RC Celta de Vigo 28%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Rayo Vallecano, rating it at 39.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Rayo Vallecano won 2 of 10, with 5 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Rayo Vallecano's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. RC Celta de Vigo's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Rayo Vallecano's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 61 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Rayo Vallecano: LDLLW
RC Celta de Vigo: LLLDD
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 61 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 1.60Avg goals
- 30%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-18 | RC Celta de Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano | 3–0 |
| 2025-09-21 | Rayo Vallecano vs RC Celta de Vigo | 1–1 |
| 2025-05-18 | RC Celta de Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano | 1–2 |
| 2025-01-10 | Rayo Vallecano vs RC Celta de Vigo | 2–1 |
| 2024-03-31 | Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano | 0–0 |
| 2023-12-11 | Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo | 0–0 |
| 2023-03-11 | Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano | 3–0 |
| 2022-11-10 | Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo | 0–0 |
| 2022-02-05 | Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano | 2–0 |
| 2021-11-01 | Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo | 0–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs RC Celta de Vigo?
- Tofiko's model favours Rayo Vallecano (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Rayo Vallecano vs RC Celta de Vigo kick off?
- Sun, 01 Nov 2026 15:59 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Rayo Vallecano vs RC Celta de Vigo head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 5 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.60 goals per game.