Real Sociedadvs
Athletic BilbaoReal Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction, H2H & Form
La LigaSun, 02 May 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Real Sociedad40%
- Real Sociedad
- Draw
- Athletic Bilbao
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Real Sociedad or draw74%
- Draw or Athletic Bilbao60%
- Real Sociedad or Athletic Bilbao66%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.537%
- Under 2.563%
Both teams to score
- Real Sociedad, last 10 home games6 of 10
- Athletic Bilbao, last 10 away games2 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Real Sociedad, rating it at 40.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Real Sociedad won 3 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Real Sociedad's last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. Athletic Bilbao's 5 produced 6, at 1.2 per game.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 201 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Real Sociedad: WLWLL
Athletic Bilbao: DWDDW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 201 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao | 0–1 |
| 2026-02-01 | Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad | 1–1 |
| 2025-11-01 | Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao | 3–2 |
| 2025-05-04 | Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao | 0–0 |
| 2024-11-24 | Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad | 1–0 |
| 2024-01-13 | Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad | 2–1 |
| 2023-09-30 | Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao | 3–0 |
| 2023-04-15 | Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad | 2–0 |
| 2023-01-14 | Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao | 3–1 |
| 2022-02-20 | Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad | 4–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao?
- Tofiko's model favours Real Sociedad (40% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao kick off?
- Sun, 02 May 2027 15:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.