FC Barcelona vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction, H2H & Form
La LigaSat, 31 Oct 2026 20:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
FC Barcelona to win76%
1X2: model backs FC Barcelona at 76%.
- FC Barcelona
- Draw
- Deportivo Alaves
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- FC Barcelona or draw93%
- Draw or Deportivo Alaves24%
- FC Barcelona or Deportivo Alaves84%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.563%
- Under 2.537%
Both teams to score
- FC Barcelona, last 10 home games6 of 10
- Deportivo Alaves, last 10 away games7 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Barcelona, rating it at 76.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and FC Barcelona won 3 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. FC Barcelona's last 5 produced 27 goals — 5.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Deportivo Alaves's 5 produced 14, at 2.8 per game.
What to keep in mind
- FC Barcelona's games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 18 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
FC Barcelona: WWWWW
Deportivo Alaves: LDLLW
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 18 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.70Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | Deportivo Alaves vs FC Barcelona | 1–0 |
| 2025-11-29 | FC Barcelona vs Deportivo Alaves | 3–1 |
| 2025-02-02 | FC Barcelona vs Deportivo Alaves | 1–0 |
| 2024-10-06 | Deportivo Alaves vs FC Barcelona | 0–3 |
| 2024-02-03 | Alaves vs Barcelona | 1–3 |
| 2023-11-12 | Barcelona vs Alaves | 2–1 |
| 2022-01-23 | Alaves vs Barcelona | 0–1 |
| 2021-10-30 | Barcelona vs Alaves | 1–1 |
| 2021-02-13 | Barcelona vs Alaves | 5–1 |
| 2020-10-31 | Alaves vs Barcelona | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Barcelona vs Deportivo Alaves?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Barcelona (76% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Barcelona vs Deportivo Alaves kick off?
- Sat, 31 Oct 2026 20:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the FC Barcelona vs Deportivo Alaves head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.70 goals per game.