FC Barcelonavs
Deportivo AlavesFC Barcelona vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction, H2H & Stats
La LigaSun, 01 Nov 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Barcelona76%
- FC Barcelona 76%
- Draw 16%
- Deportivo Alaves 7%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Barcelona, rating it at 76.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and FC Barcelona won 3 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. FC Barcelona's last 5 produced 18 goals — 3.6 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Deportivo Alaves's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 16.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
FC Barcelona: DWLWL
Deportivo Alaves: WWDLW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.70Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | Deportivo Alaves vs FC Barcelona | 1–0 |
| 2025-11-29 | FC Barcelona vs Deportivo Alaves | 3–1 |
| 2025-02-02 | FC Barcelona vs Deportivo Alaves | 1–0 |
| 2024-10-06 | Deportivo Alaves vs FC Barcelona | 0–3 |
| 2024-02-03 | Alaves vs Barcelona | 1–3 |
| 2023-11-12 | Barcelona vs Alaves | 2–1 |
| 2022-01-23 | Alaves vs Barcelona | 0–1 |
| 2021-10-30 | Barcelona vs Alaves | 1–1 |
| 2021-02-13 | Barcelona vs Alaves | 5–1 |
| 2020-10-31 | Alaves vs Barcelona | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC Barcelona vs Deportivo Alaves?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Barcelona (76% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Barcelona vs Deportivo Alaves kick off?
- Sun, 01 Nov 2026 15:59 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the FC Barcelona vs Deportivo Alaves head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.70 goals per game.